Non-Fiction Critical Analysis
In the article “Horoscopes - Fun But Utterly Fallible”, by Peter M. Nardi, the author uses many examples and biased vocabulary to persuade readers to believe that zodiac horoscopes are completely untrue. Nardi uses examples of experiments and quotes from psychologists, such as Bertram Forer, P.T. Barnum, and Charles Reichardt, as well as researchers, such as Richard McFall and John McGrew. Nardi also gives his own zodiac sign, and uses examples of things he’s seen on the internet about his own sign. He also states, along with other psychologists that he mentions, that horoscopes generality makes it so anyone can refer to themselves as what the horoscope says. Throughout the entire article, the author consistently denies any truth that could lie in horoscopes.
Within the article, Nardi describes a few experiments performed by psychologists or researchers that help to prove that zodiac is inaccurate. For example, the first experiment that Nardi explains is one performed by psychologist Bertram Forer in 1949, “...subjects completed a personality test and received a written assessment of their results. Forer asked them to rate the accuracy of their personal profiles; the result was very high ratings (an average 4.26 where 5 is "very accurate"). However, each person received the exact same assessment that Forer took from a newspaper horoscope: ‘You have a need for other people to like and admire you, and yet you tend to be critical of yourself. While you have some personality weaknesses you are generally able to compensate for them. You have considerable unused capacity that you have not turned to your advantage.’" This experiment was very smart, considering that if a person had just seen this in a book or on a website when looking up traits of their astrological sign, they would most likely believe this statement to be true. This is because, as Nardi later states in the article, if people read something positive that is supposed to represent themselves, they will probably believe it to be true, if it’s general enough that it could apply to just about anyone. That, as the article explains, is how horoscopes are designed, according to those who are anti-zodiac accuracy. Another example of an intelligent experiment done is one performed by another psychologist, Charles Reichardt, “Intrigued that the horoscopes on an online website suggested that Taurus, Sagittarius and Virgo people tend toward conservatism, he looked at 40,637 respondents in the GSS dataset and found no statistical difference in identifying oneself as liberal, conservative or moderate among the 12 zodiac signs. Using several other measures, Reichardt concluded that ‘astrology provides little if any basis for accurately describing individual human differences.’" This experiment also proves that horoscopes are untrue. But this experiment has another aspect, which is that people are categorized to be certain things based on their zodiac sign, but a lot of the time that isn’t really what they are, as the experiment proves.
Honestly, I’m torn on whether or not I should agree with Nardi and his idea that horoscopes are always utterly untrue. On the one hand, I think astrology and zodiac is just a fun thing, and I personally love it and love to read about it not just for myself, but for other people too. Among doing that, I have come across both horoscopes and zodiac descriptions that did represent myself or someone else, as well as ones that didn’t. Sometimes I have found that ones I read, particularly about myself, are revealingly accurate. But then again, I do believe (agreeing with Nardi) that if people read positive or hopeful horoscopes, they will most likely believe them because people always want to think good things about themselves. A certain part of me wants astrology and all of it’s theories and horoscopes to be true, a) because it gives people something to believe in and discover, and b) because it’s a plain fun thing to have faith in. On the contrary, another part of me thinks it could just be hogwash that astrologers made up because they either created it but don’t have reasoning with not enough scientific backing, or they wanted people to have something hopeful to believe in, if say they weren’t religious or just unsure about themselves. This brings up a couple questions that I have. The first is: if zodiac is all hogwash, why does it somehow end up to be relatable and sometimes fully accurate? Although the second is: if zodiac was just created for people who were unsure about themselves, could it possibly force people to believe they’re someone that they’re not? Overall, I feel that this article, although stating an obvious bias, was very intriguing and most definitely made me question my past belief in zodiac.